Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://olympias.lib.uoi.gr/jspui/handle/123456789/21853
Full metadata record
DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorTrikalinos, T. A.en
dc.contributor.authorNtzani, E. E.en
dc.contributor.authorContopoulos-Ioannidis, D. G.en
dc.contributor.authorIoannidis, J. P.en
dc.date.accessioned2015-11-24T19:18:16Z-
dc.date.available2015-11-24T19:18:16Z-
dc.identifier.issn1018-4813-
dc.identifier.urihttps://olympias.lib.uoi.gr/jspui/handle/123456789/21853-
dc.rightsDefault Licence-
dc.subject*Causalityen
dc.subjectDatabases, Factualen
dc.subject*Genetic Predisposition to Diseaseen
dc.subjectHumansen
dc.subject*Meta-Analysis as Topicen
dc.subjectOdds Ratioen
dc.subject*Publication Biasen
dc.subjectSensitivity and Specificityen
dc.titleEstablishment of genetic associations for complex diseases is independent of early study findingsen
heal.typejournalArticle-
heal.type.enJournal articleen
heal.type.elΆρθρο Περιοδικούel
heal.identifier.primary10.1038/sj.ejhg.5201227-
heal.identifier.secondaryhttp://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15213707-
heal.identifier.secondaryhttp://www.nature.com/ejhg/journal/v12/n9/pdf/5201227a.pdf-
heal.languageen-
heal.accesscampus-
heal.recordProviderΠανεπιστήμιο Ιωαννίνων. Σχολή Επιστημών Υγείας. Τμήμα Ιατρικήςel
heal.publicationDate2004-
heal.abstractNumerous genetic association studies for complex diseases are performed. Investigators place emphasis on formal statistical significance (P-values < 0.05), but the predictive ability of early statistically significant ('positive') findings is unclear. We scrutinized 55 cumulative meta-analyses of genetic associations (579 studies), in order to assess whether having statistical significance in the earliest (first) published study or in at least half among several (> or =3) early-published studies, or high statistical significance in early studies had any predictive ability for establishing or refuting the presence of the genetic association in subsequent research. In 35 associations, a first study was 'positive' and in 15 associations more than half of the early-published reports were 'positive'. The average publication rate of subsequent studies increased 1.71-fold with a 'positive' first report. When compared against the summary results of subsequent research, sensitivity and specificity were 0.65 and 0.38 for the first reports, and 0.40 and 0.73, respectively, when at least three early studies were considered. First studies also had poor predictive ability, when we considered the estimated attributable fraction and coverage of the 95% confidence interval thereof or higher levels of statistical significance. We conclude that although 'positive' findings in the very first reports provide strong incentive for conducting more studies on a putative genetic epidemiological association, the statistical significance or even the magnitude of the effect of early studies cannot adequately predict eventual establishment of an association. Conversely, many genuine epidemiological associations would be missed, if research were abandoned after early underpowered 'negative' studies.en
heal.journalNameEur J Hum Geneten
heal.journalTypepeer-reviewed-
heal.fullTextAvailabilityTRUE-
Appears in Collections:Άρθρα σε επιστημονικά περιοδικά ( Ανοικτά) - ΙΑΤ

Files in This Item:
File Description SizeFormat 
Trikalinos-2004-Establishment of gen.pdf111.21 kBAdobe PDFView/Open    Request a copy


This item is licensed under a Creative Commons License Creative Commons