One Strike… and You’re Out! (Master thesis)

Τσάβου, Ευαγγελία


Does terrorism impact the survival of political leaders? Using a multinational dataset on terrorist episodes and leadership survival from 1970 through 2015 and selection-corrected survival models we provide evidence that autocrats who experience higher instances of terrorism face an increased hazard of exit power. For democrats, however, the effect of terrorism fails to achieve a customary level of statistical significance, yet an apparent trend is provided, implying that terrorism may benefit incumbents. Penetrating autocracies in the aftermath of terrorism, our results suggest that authoritarian incumbents in personalized non-military and in personalized military regimes will experience prolonged tenures compared to their authoritarian counterparts. Our results hold for international, domestic and unknown terrorist incidents, while are robust across various specifications.
Alternative title / Subtitle: the survival of political leaders in the aftermath of terrorism
Institution and School/Department of submitter: Πανεπιστήμιο Ιωαννίνων. Σχολή Οικονομικών και Διοικητικών Επιστημών. Τμήμα Οικονομικών Επιστημών
Subject classification: Terrorism
Keywords: Political survival,Terrorism,Effective leader,Autocracies,Democracies
URI: http://olympias.lib.uoi.gr/jspui/handle/123456789/29395
Item type: masterThesis
Subject classification: Terrorism
Submission Date: 2019-05-28T11:39:26Z
Item language: en
Item access scheme: free
Institution and School/Department of submitter: Πανεπιστήμιο Ιωαννίνων. Σχολή Οικονομικών και Διοικητικών Επιστημών. Τμήμα Οικονομικών Επιστημών
Publication date: 2019
Bibliographic citation: Βιβλιογραφία: σ. 76-88
Abstract: Does terrorism impact the survival of political leaders? Using a multinational dataset on terrorist episodes and leadership survival from 1970 through 2015 and selection-corrected survival models we provide evidence that autocrats who experience higher instances of terrorism face an increased hazard of exit power. For democrats, however, the effect of terrorism fails to achieve a customary level of statistical significance, yet an apparent trend is provided, implying that terrorism may benefit incumbents. Penetrating autocracies in the aftermath of terrorism, our results suggest that authoritarian incumbents in personalized non-military and in personalized military regimes will experience prolonged tenures compared to their authoritarian counterparts. Our results hold for international, domestic and unknown terrorist incidents, while are robust across various specifications.
Advisor name: Αδάμ, Αντώνιος
Examining committee: Αδάμ, Αντώνιος
Λίτινα, Αναστασία
Συμεωνίδης, Σπυρίδων
Publishing department/division: Πανεπιστήμιο Ιωαννίνων. Σχολή Οικονομικών και Διοικητικών Επιστημών. Τμήμα Οικονομικών Επιστημών
Publishing institution: uoi
Number of pages: 88 σ.
Appears in Collections:Διατριβές Μεταπτυχιακής Έρευνας (Masters)

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